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The Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz
Daily SITREP by MOCEAN
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Strait of Hormuz SITREP: 14 Nov 2026 (Day 259)

Published 14 Nov 2026 · The Strait of Hormuz daily situation report

Quick answer

  • Is the Strait of Hormuz open on 14 November 2026? No. On Day 259 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed to normal commercial traffic. 9 ships transited on 13 Nov 2026 (Windward, last complete day) versus a pre-crisis norm of about 88 per day.
  • How many ships transited the Strait of Hormuz on 13 Nov 2026? 9 vessel transits were logged on 13 Nov 2026 (5 inbound, 4 outbound), about 10% of the ~88/day pre-crisis average.
  • What is the Brent crude price during the Hormuz closure? Brent crude was $95.84 on 14 November 2026, versus about $72 a barrel before the war.

Status: Effectively closed to normal commercial traffic, Day 259 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026. 9 transits logged on 13 Nov 2026 (Windward; 4 outbound, 5 inbound, all dark) against a pre-crisis norm of ~88 per day.

This is the archived daily situation report for . For today’s count, see the live Strait of Hormuz ship tracker.

Core Transit & Vessel Status

  • Status: Windward logged 9 transits on 13 NOV (data as of 13 NOV, the last complete day) — 4 outbound and 5 inbound, about 10% of the ~88 a day before the crisis and down from 10 on 12 NOV.
  • Volume vs Vessels: The hull count understates the flow. Kpler puts Hormuz crude traffic at an average 10.5M bpd since 01 OCT, against about 13.5M bpd pre-war (Reuters, 11 NOV). No fresher volume figure was published for 13 NOV.
  • Dark Traffic: All 9 crossings on 13 NOV ran dark, and 2 hulls (~210 m westbound, ~180 m eastbound) were picked up only by satellite. 4 of the 5 identified transits show prior identity changes (Windward). straits.live (AIS-only) still shows 3 transits on 08 NOV.
  • Fleet Activity: The IRGC Navy claims two tankers, one a supertanker, hit mines on an “unauthorised” route late on 13 NOV; Iranian state media says another tanker caught fire in the eastern Strait on the morning of 14 NOV. Reuters could not verify either claim (JPost, 14 NOV). Gulf dark-activity events rose 13% to 256 on 13 NOV (Windward).
  • Lloyd’s & Insurers: War-risk premiums ran 32.0x peacetime in straits.live’s latest figure (07 OCT; 38 days old, not refreshed). Windward’s Iranian-port non-compliance list stands at 240 vessels after 2 tankers were added on 13 NOV.

The Deal & Diplomatic Status

  • Iran’s Terms: The IRGC warned shipowners not to transit without coordinating with its Traffic Control Centre (IRIB via ANI, 14 NOV). CENTCOM says it downed two Iranian one-way drones aimed at Bahrain with no damage, denying an IRGC claim to have destroyed a US radar (ANI, 14 NOV).
  • Talks: On 12 NOV Trump posted “We don’t need a deal with Iran. Those days have long since passed.” (Truth Social via CNBC, 12 NOV). Rubio says further strikes are unnecessary because the economic pain on Iran is so great (Times of Israel, 14 NOV).
  • Escorted Transits: US forces continue escorting tankers on the southern route (CBS, 12 NOV). Windward splits 13 NOV traffic as 3 South, 1 North and 5 on unknown corridors.
  • Wildcard: Shenzhen Summit: Trump is due to discuss Iran at a trilateral meeting with Xi and Putin in Shenzhen on Thursday 19 NOV (US official via Times of Israel, 14 NOV).

Recovery Outlook & Economic Impact

  • Timeline: No reopening date. Qatar’s LNG traffic is running about 30% of pre-war, while UAE LNG is back to pre-war levels (S&P Global via Reuters, 11 NOV). Fitch expects a durable deal in early 2027 (straits.live, 12 NOV).
  • Oil Markets: Brent closed the week at $95.84 on 13 NOV, roughly flat on the day (straits.live; Trading Economics). AAA US gas: $3.84 on 14 NOV, down 20¢ in a week and 49¢ in a month; we estimate ≈57¢ of it is the war premium.
  • Bypass and Outlook: Kpler puts total Gulf crude exports, bypass routes included, at 16.7M bpd since 01 OCT vs ~17M pre-war (Reuters, 11 NOV). Saudi output has risen to near pre-war levels (The National, 12 NOV).

Keep reading

How these numbers are counted: methodology · full daily table: data (CSV/JSON, CC-BY 4.0) · corrections.