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The Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz
Daily SITREP by MOCEAN
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Strait of Hormuz SITREP: 13 Nov 2026 (Day 258)

Published 13 Nov 2026 · The Strait of Hormuz daily situation report

Quick answer

  • Is the Strait of Hormuz open on 13 November 2026? No. On Day 258 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed to normal commercial traffic. 10 ships transited on 12 Nov 2026 (Windward, last complete day) versus a pre-crisis norm of about 88 per day.
  • How many ships transited the Strait of Hormuz on 12 Nov 2026? 10 vessel transits were logged on 12 Nov 2026 (6 inbound, 4 outbound), about 11% of the ~88/day pre-crisis average.
  • What is the Brent crude price during the Hormuz closure? Brent crude was $95.18 on 13 November 2026, versus about $72 a barrel before the war.

Status: Effectively closed to normal commercial traffic, Day 258 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026. 10 transits logged on 12 Nov 2026 against a pre-crisis norm of ~88 per day.

This is the archived daily situation report for . For today’s count, see the live Strait of Hormuz ship tracker.

Core Transit & Vessel Status

  • Status: Windward logged 10 transits on 12 NOV (data as of 12 NOV, the last complete day) — 4 outbound and 6 inbound, about 11% of the ~88 a day before the crisis and up from 9 on 11 NOV.
  • Volume vs Vessels: The hull count understates the flow. Kpler puts Hormuz crude traffic at an average 10.5M bpd since 01 OCT, against about 13.5M bpd pre-war (Reuters, 11 NOV). No fresher volume figure was published for 12 NOV.
  • Dark Traffic: 8 of the 10 crossings on 12 NOV ran dark (4 inbound, 4 outbound), the most since late SEP and up from 3 of 9 on 11 NOV. No outbound vessel transmitted AIS (Windward). straits.live (AIS-only) still shows 3 transits on 08 NOV.
  • Fleet Activity: Ambrey said a commercial ship was hit by an unknown projectile about 14 nm off Ras al-Khaimah on 11 NOV, starting an engine-room fire; no injuries reported (CBS, 12 NOV). The IRGC claims an LNG tanker hit a mine in the Strait on 13 NOV and two tankers burned on the southern route on 12 NOV (both unverified). The Gulf fleet fell to 825 vessels on 12 NOV, the lowest since 18 AUG (Windward).
  • Lloyd’s & Insurers: War-risk premiums ran 32.0x peacetime in straits.live’s latest figure (07 OCT; 37 days old, not refreshed). At least 10 ships were hit in the first 10 days of NOV after 37 attacks in OCT (Washington Institute via JPost, 13 NOV).

The Deal & Diplomatic Status

  • Iran’s Terms: Security chief Mohsen Rezaei says Hormuz stays shut until the US meets Tehran’s seven conditions and called talk of a Qatar meeting a lie; FM Araghchi says it could reopen within two days if they are met (Al Jazeera, 11 NOV). Basij chief Hossein Taeb repeated the line on 12 NOV (IRNA via CBS).
  • Talks: On 12 NOV Trump posted “We don’t need a deal with Iran. Those days have long since passed.” and moved VP Vance off the file (Truth Social via The National and CNBC, 12 NOV). Rubio has called Iran’s seven conditions “unacceptable” (09 NOV).
  • Escorted Transits: US forces are escorting tankers on the southern route (CBS, 12 NOV). A Saudi tanker company is sending vessels through Hormuz in coordination with the US military (Bloomberg, 10 NOV). CENTCOM’s Task Force Iron Gate, announced 07 NOV, extends the blockade.
  • Wildcard: US Strike Window: Trump said on 11 NOV the war ends “when we want to end it” and that he wants “total victory” (CBS). On 12 NOV he added “we’ve got their Strait” (Truth Social via The National). The IRGC keeps claiming hits on ships using the US-escorted southern route.

Recovery Outlook & Economic Impact

  • Timeline: No reopening date. Qatar’s LNG traffic is running about 30% of pre-war, while UAE LNG is back to pre-war levels (S&P Global via Reuters, 11 NOV). Fitch expects a durable deal in early 2027 (straits.live, 12 NOV).
  • Oil Markets: Brent traded at $95.18 at 10:52 UTC on 13 NOV, up 3.43% in 24h after Trump’s no-deal post (straits.live intraday). It settled at $92.76 on 11 NOV (Reuters). AAA US gas: $3.91 on 12 NOV, down 19¢ in a week and below $4 for the first time since JUL.
  • Bypass and Outlook: Kpler puts total Gulf crude exports, bypass routes included, at 16.7M bpd since 01 OCT vs ~17M pre-war (Reuters, 11 NOV). Saudi output has risen to near pre-war levels (The National, 12 NOV).

Keep reading

How these numbers are counted: methodology · full daily table: data (CSV/JSON, CC-BY 4.0) · corrections.