Skip to main content

The Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz
Daily SITREP by MOCEAN
Full Intel

Strait of Hormuz SITREP: 12 Nov 2026 (Day 257)

Published 12 Nov 2026 · The Strait of Hormuz daily situation report

Quick answer

  • Is the Strait of Hormuz open on 12 November 2026? No. On Day 257 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed to normal commercial traffic. 9 ships transited on 11 Nov 2026 (Windward, last complete day) versus a pre-crisis norm of about 88 per day.
  • How many ships transited the Strait of Hormuz on 11 Nov 2026? 9 vessel transits were logged on 11 Nov 2026 (6 inbound, 3 outbound), about 10% of the ~88/day pre-crisis average.
  • What is the Brent crude price during the Hormuz closure? Brent crude was $92.76 on 12 November 2026, versus about $72 a barrel before the war.

Status: Effectively closed to normal traffic, Day 257 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026. 9 transits logged on 11 Nov 2026 (Windward) against a pre-crisis norm of ~88 per day.

This is the archived daily situation report for . For today’s count, see the live Strait of Hormuz ship tracker.

Core Transit & Vessel Status

  • Status: Windward logged 9 transits on 11 NOV (data as of 11 NOV, the last complete day) — 3 outbound and 6 inbound, about 10% of the ~88 a day before the crisis and down from 10 on 10 NOV.
  • Volume vs Vessels: The hull count understates the flow. Kpler puts Hormuz crude traffic at an average 10.5M bpd since 01 OCT, against about 13.5M bpd pre-war (Reuters, 11 NOV). TankerTrackers put it at 13.1M bpd for the week to 05 NOV (PolitiFact, 11 NOV) — trackers differ, but oil is moving while ship counts stay low.
  • Dark Traffic: 3 of the 9 crossings on 11 NOV ran dark (2 inbound, 1 outbound), down from 5 of 10 on 10 NOV. Eight earlier dark transits resurfaced, some after gaps of up to 34 days (Windward). straits.live (AIS-only) still shows 3 commercial transits on 08 NOV; we use Windward and flag the gap.
  • Fleet Activity: Iran’s army said a tanker caught fire after hitting a mine in the eastern Strait on 11 NOV (unverified). A Liberia-flagged tanker was hit by a projectile in the Gulf, injuring 4 crew (India’s shipping minister, 11 NOV). UKMTO reported a tanker struck NE of Lima, Oman on 10 NOV. GPS jamming hit 153 vessels in the Gulf on 10 NOV (Windward).
  • Lloyd’s & Insurers: War-risk premiums ran 32.0x peacetime in straits.live’s latest figure (07 OCT; 36 days old, not refreshed). Its 12 NOV report counts 18 AIS-dark tankers among 84 screened. Iran’s PGSA non-compliance list fell by one to 238 vessels (Windward, 11 NOV).

The Deal & Diplomatic Status

  • Iran’s Terms: Security chief Mohsen Rezaei said no negotiations are under way (Reuters, 11 NOV). Reuters also reported Iranian forces attacking ship navigation systems on an Omani island in the Strait (11 NOV).
  • Talks: Trump told Reuters that Qatar and Saudi Arabia would “rather see a peaceful solution” (Reuters, 11 NOV). Rubio said the blockade and sanctions are working well enough that major combat need not resume. Washington says nuclear issues must be part of any initial talks.
  • Escorted Transits: A Saudi tanker company is sending vessels through Hormuz in coordination with the US military (Bloomberg, 10 NOV). CENTCOM’s Task Force Iron Gate, announced 07 NOV, extends the blockade to overland and Caspian routes.
  • Wildcard: US Strike Window: CNBC reported on 10 NOV that Trump expects the war to end fairly soon and plays down new strikes; on 11 NOV he said the US is “ready to go anytime we want” (Reuters). The IRGC keeps claiming hits on ships it says use unapproved routes (08–11 NOV, unverified).

Recovery Outlook & Economic Impact

  • Timeline: No reopening date. Qatar’s LNG traffic is running about 30% of pre-war, while UAE LNG is back to pre-war levels (S&P Global via Reuters, 11 NOV). Fitch expects a durable deal in early 2027 (straits.live, 12 OCT; 31 days old, not refreshed).
  • Oil Markets: Brent settled at $92.76 on 11 NOV, up 1.39% from $91.49 on 10 NOV, its lowest settle since August (Reuters). It traded near $91.97 at 10:59 UTC on 12 NOV (straits.live). AAA US gas: $3.94 on 11 NOV, down 18¢ from $4.12 a week earlier and $4.36 a month earlier.
  • Bypass and Outlook: Kpler puts total Gulf crude exports, bypass routes included, at 16.7M bpd since 01 OCT vs ~17M pre-war (Reuters, 11 NOV). Saudi Aramco’s CEO said East-West pipeline capacity rose from 2M to 7M bpd (CBS News, 22 OCT; 21 days old). Oil from the damaged tanker Gem No.2 has closed beaches across the northern emirates, with the slick about 2 km from the Naqa’a desalination intake (Reuters, 11 NOV).

Keep reading

How these numbers are counted: methodology · full daily table: data (CSV/JSON, CC-BY 4.0) · corrections.