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The Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz
Daily SITREP by MOCEAN
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Strait of Hormuz SITREP: 11 Nov 2026 (Day 256)

Published 11 Nov 2026 · The Strait of Hormuz daily situation report

Quick answer

  • Is the Strait of Hormuz open on 11 November 2026? No. On Day 256 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed to normal commercial traffic. 10 ships transited on 10 Nov 2026 (Windward, last complete day) versus a pre-crisis norm of about 88 per day.
  • How many ships transited the Strait of Hormuz on 10 Nov 2026? 10 vessel transits were logged on 10 Nov 2026 (5 inbound, 5 outbound), about 11% of the ~88/day pre-crisis average.
  • What is the Brent crude price during the Hormuz closure? Brent crude was $91.49 on 11 November 2026, versus about $72 a barrel before the war.

Status: Effectively closed, Day 256 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026. 10 transits logged on 10 Nov 2026 against a pre-crisis norm of ~88 per day.

This is the archived daily situation report for . For today’s count, see the live Strait of Hormuz ship tracker.

Core Transit & Vessel Status

  • Status: Windward logged 10 transits on 10 NOV (data as of 10 NOV, the last complete day) — 5 outbound and 5 inbound, about 11% of the ~88 a day before the crisis and up from 6 on 09 NOV. Corridor split: 6 southern, 3 northern, 1 undetermined.
  • Volume vs Vessels: The hull count understates the flow. Kpler puts Hormuz crude traffic at an average 10.5M bpd since 01 OCT, against about 13.5M bpd pre-war (Reuters, 11 NOV) — oil is moving even while ship counts stay low.
  • Dark Traffic: 5 of the 10 crossings on 10 NOV ran dark (3 inbound, 2 outbound): four 52–63 m Indian-flag cargo craft and a ~229 m Hong Kong-flag bulk carrier (Windward). straits.live (AIS-only) shows 3 commercial transits on 08 NOV; we use Windward and flag the gap.
  • Fleet Activity: UKMTO reported a tanker struck northeast of Lima, Oman on 10 NOV; the attacker was not named. A tanker caught fire about 8 nm NW of Khasab on 07 NOV (UKMTO). The IRGC claims three tankers hit on 08 NOV and tankers striking mines on 10 NOV (unverified). GPS jamming hit 275 vessels in the Gulf on 09 NOV (Windward).
  • Lloyd’s & Insurers: War-risk premiums ran 32.0x peacetime in straits.live’s latest figure (07 OCT; 35 days old, not refreshed). Its 11 NOV report lists about 50 vessels holding offshore, many off Dubai, and 33 AIS-dark tankers among 113 screened.

The Deal & Diplomatic Status

  • Iran’s Terms: Security chief Mohsen Rezaei said on 10 NOV the Strait stays shut until the US gives a clear answer to Iran’s demands, and denied any talks in Qatar. FM Araghchi said it could reopen within two days once they are met (Al Jazeera, 11 NOV).
  • Talks: Qatar’s prime minister met Trump at the White House on 09 NOV. Trump told reporters afterwards that “Iran, militarily, is effectively over” (Bloomberg, 10 NOV). Rubio said in Paris there is no need for major combat operations while the economic campaign runs.
  • Escorted Transits: A Saudi tanker company is sending vessels through Hormuz in coordination with the US military (Bloomberg, 10 NOV). CENTCOM’s Task Force Iron Gate, announced 07 NOV, extends the blockade to overland and Caspian routes.
  • Wildcard: US Strike Window: Trump told CNN on 08 NOV that new strikes were “highly unlikely” to be necessary, and CNBC reported on 10 NOV that he expects the war to end fairly soon. Iran keeps firing on ships it says use unapproved routes.

Recovery Outlook & Economic Impact

  • Timeline: No reopening date. Iran says two days once its demands are met (Araghchi, 10 NOV). Fitch expects a durable deal in early 2027 (straits.live, 12 OCT; 30 days old, not refreshed).
  • Oil Markets: Brent settled at $91.49 on 10 NOV, down 1.17% and its lowest settle since August, after $92.57 on 09 NOV (Bloomberg). It traded near $92.53 at 06:36 UTC on 11 NOV. AAA US gas: $3.98 on 10 NOV, down 17¢ from $4.15 a week earlier and $4.37 a month earlier.
  • Bypass and Outlook: Kpler puts total Gulf crude exports, bypass routes included, at 16.7M bpd since 01 OCT vs ~17M pre-war (Reuters, 11 NOV). Saudi Aramco’s CEO said East-West pipeline capacity rose from 2M to 7M bpd (CBS News, 22 OCT; 20 days old). A slick from a leaking vessel off Fujairah reached about 25 km off Khor Fakkan; Al Luluyah beach closed 09 NOV (Windward).

Keep reading

How these numbers are counted: methodology · full daily table: data (CSV/JSON, CC-BY 4.0) · corrections.