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The Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz
Daily SITREP by MOCEAN
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Strait of Hormuz SITREP: 6 Nov 2026 (Day 251)

Published 6 Nov 2026 · The Strait of Hormuz daily situation report

Quick answer

  • Is the Strait of Hormuz open on 6 November 2026? No. On Day 251 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed to normal commercial traffic. 5 ships transited on 4 Nov 2026 (Windward, last complete day) versus a pre-crisis norm of about 88 per day.
  • How many ships transited the Strait of Hormuz on 4 Nov 2026? 5 vessel transits were logged on 4 Nov 2026 (2 inbound, 3 outbound), about 6% of the ~88/day pre-crisis average.
  • What is the Brent crude price during the Hormuz closure? Brent crude was $98.16 on 6 November 2026, versus about $72 a barrel before the war.

Status: Closed to normal commercial traffic (disputed), Day 251 of the closure that began 28 Feb 2026. 5 transits logged on 04 Nov (the most recent complete day reported) against a pre-crisis norm of ~88 per day.

This is the archived daily situation report for . For today’s count, see the live Strait of Hormuz ship tracker.

Core Transit & Vessel Status

  • Status: Windward logged 5 transits on 04 NOV (data as of 04 NOV, the most recent complete day reported; 2 days old, no 05 NOV count published yet) — 2 inbound and 3 outbound (4 AIS-visible, 1 dark), about 6% of the ~88 a day before the crisis. Corridor split: Windward lists all five on the northern corridor. Up from 3 on 03 NOV.
  • Volume vs Vessels: The hull count understates the flow, but volume is volatile. Kpler put direct Hormuz crude exports at about 7.3M bpd in the week ended 28 OCT (9 days old, not refreshed), less than half the pre-war level of about 16M bpd on Kpler’s basis. Kpler’s October average for crude and condensate via Hormuz, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Oman (excluding Iranian exports) was 16.1M bpd and Vortexa’s broader regional October figure was 17.1M bpd (Discovery Alert, 05 NOV; secondary, different bases). No fresh total for 04 NOV was available.
  • Count Dispute: Windward’s 04 NOV panels list 5 transits (2 in, 3 out), 1 of them dark (an outbound general cargo ship). The AIS-visible vessels were the tanker AGRASEN and the cargo ship PACIFIC HARMONY inbound, and the cargo ship SEPELU and bulk carrier GLYKOFILOUSSA outbound. No tanker crossed outbound. IMF PortWatch (AIS-only, via straits.live) last showed 2 commercial transits on 25 OCT (12 days old) and is not used for the headline count.
  • Fleet Activity: UKMTO logged a tanker hit by two projectiles about 14 nm northeast of Limah, Oman on 03 NOV, and another tanker hit by two projectiles about 50 nm north of Madinat ash-Shamal, Qatar at 23:20 GMT on 04 NOV, neither with a claim of responsibility (Al Jazeera, 04–05 NOV). The IRGC claims several tankers hit mines in or near the Strait on 04–05 NOV; maritime officials have not confirmed any of those claims. UKMTO says most ships now decline to report attacks.
  • Lloyd’s & Insurers: War-risk premiums ran 32.0x peacetime in straits.live’s latest figure (07 OCT; 30 days old, not refreshed). Its 06 NOV report lists about 100 vessels holding offshore, many off Dubai, against about 60 in its 05 NOV report. Windward’s GPS-jamming tally for 04 NOV shows 365 vessels jammed in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, 3.9% below the 7-day average.

The Deal & Diplomatic Status

  • New Framework: Iran’s proposal would reopen the Strait within two days if the US meets seven demands, including lifting sanctions and ending the US naval blockade (Al Jazeera, 04 NOV). Qatar says both sides remain committed to the process and is relaying proposals in real time. Oman said on 05 NOV it is working with Iran on a joint mechanism to control Hormuz traffic (CBS News live updates). No interim deal has been announced.
  • Talks: Iranian security council secretary Ali Akbar Rezaei dismissed America’s response as unconvincing on 04 NOV (Al Jazeera). Talks remain indirect, through Qatari, Pakistani and Saudi mediators. Rezaei met Putin in Moscow on 05 NOV to discuss a Russia-to-Iran gas pipeline (CBS News live updates).
  • Iranian Posture: US strikes hit Qeshm Island early on 03 NOV; Trump confirmed a strike on an anti-aircraft facility and called it a minor attack (Al Jazeera, 04 NOV). The IRGC claims it shot down a US MQ-9 over the Strait on 03 NOV (unverified). Pentagon officials told the NYT on 04 NOV that forces are poised to resume major combat on Trump’s orders (Al Jazeera, 05 NOV). The USS Theodore Roosevelt group is in Singapore on 06 NOV and at least two weeks from the Middle East (CBS News).
  • Wildcard: US Strike Window: Trump said on 04 NOV that if he had it to do again, he would do it again, and claimed tremendous oil is now flowing out of the Strait (PTI via Business Standard, 04 NOV). That sits against Kpler’s 7.3M bpd, under half the pre-war level. On 03 NOV he told the Financial Times the US seems to be getting everything it wants (via Al Jazeera). The strike window stays open while talks run.

Recovery Outlook & Economic Impact

  • Timeline: No reopening date. Fitch expects a durable deal in early 2027 (straits.live, 12 OCT; 25 days old, not refreshed). Iran says it can reopen the Strait within two days once its demands are met (04 NOV), but no side has confirmed a start date.
  • Oil Markets: Brent traded near $98.16 at 10:53 UTC on 06 NOV, up 2.09% over 24 hours (straits.live), from $96.15 on 05 NOV. CBS/AP put Brent at $96.70 at 11:20 ET on 05 NOV (secondary, different timestamp). AAA US gas: $4.10 on 05 NOV (latest posted), down 13¢ from $4.23 a week earlier and $4.37 a month earlier.
  • Bypass and Outlook: Saudi Aramco’s CEO said East-West pipeline capacity rose from 2M to 7M bpd (CBS News, 22 OCT; 15 days old). straits.live’s latest figures show Petroline to Yanbu at 83% of its 7.0M bpd capacity (06 OCT; 31 days old) and ADCOP to Fujairah at 100% of its 1.5M bpd (Argus, 15 MAY). QatarEnergy was reported on 28 SEP to be extending LNG force majeure through November, with Edison told deliveries stay suspended until early December (The Deep Dive, 28 SEP; 39 days old, may be superseded). The Qatari LNG carrier Al Mayeda was hit by unidentified objects on 30 OCT with no injuries (Al Jazeera, 05 NOV).

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How these numbers are counted: methodology · full daily table: data (CSV/JSON, CC-BY 4.0) · corrections.